probable outcome - определение. Что такое probable outcome
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Что (кто) такое probable outcome - определение

AN ERROR MADE IN EVALUATING THE QUALITY OF A DECISION WHEN THE OUTCOME OF THAT DECISION IS ALREADY KNOWN, INSTEAD OF BASED ON THE QUALITY OF THE DECISION AT THE TIME IT WAS MADE, GIVEN WHAT WAS KNOWN AT THAT TIME
Outcome Bias; Outcome fallacy
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Outcome (probability)         
  • Up or down? Flipping a brass tack leads to two '''outcomes''' that are not equally likely.
  • Flipping a coin leads to two '''outcomes''' that are almost equally likely.
A POSSIBLE RESULT OF AN EXPERIMENT OR TRIAL, WITH ALL OF THE POSSIBLE RESULTS OF AN EXPERIMENT FORMING THE ELEMENTS OF A SAMPLE SPACE
Equally likely outcomes
In probability theory, an outcome is a possible result of an experiment or trial. Each possible outcome of a particular experiment is unique, and different outcomes are mutually exclusive (only one outcome will occur on each trial of the experiment).
Probable error         
Error probable
In statistics, probable error defines the half-range of an interval about a central point for the distribution, such that half of the values from the distribution will lie within the interval and half outside.Dodge, Y.
Outcome bias         
The outcome bias is an error made in evaluating the quality of a decision when the outcome of that decision is already known. Specifically, the outcome effect occurs when the same "behavior produce[s] more ethical condemnation when it happen[s] to produce bad rather than good outcome, even if the outcome is determined by chance.
Outcome (game theory)         
CONCEPT IN GAME THEORY
Upside outcomes; Upside Outcomes; Outcome (Game theory)
In game theory, an outcome is a situation which results from a combination of player's strategies. Formally, a path through the game tree, or equivalently a terminal node of the game tree.
Outcome primacy         
Outcome Primacy
Outcome primacy is a psychological phenomenon that describes lasting effects on a subject's behavior based on the outcome of first experiences with a given task or decision. It was found that this outcome primacy can account for much of the underweighting of rare events in experience based decisions, where participants apparently underestimate small probabilities (in contrast to prospect theory where people tend to overestimate low probabilities, when lotteries are described).
Probable cause         
  • Officer training a drug dog
  • The first page of the [[Constitution of the United States]]
LEGAL CONCEPT IN US LAW
Probable Cause; Probably cause
In United States criminal law, probable cause is the standard by which police authorities have reason to obtain a warrant for the arrest of a suspected criminal or the issuing of a search warrant. There is no universally accepted definition or formulation for probable cause.
probable cause         
  • Officer training a drug dog
  • The first page of the [[Constitution of the United States]]
LEGAL CONCEPT IN US LAW
Probable Cause; Probably cause
¦ noun Law, chiefly N. Amer. reasonable grounds to believe that a particular person has committed a crime.
probable cause         
  • Officer training a drug dog
  • The first page of the [[Constitution of the United States]]
LEGAL CONCEPT IN US LAW
Probable Cause; Probably cause
n. sufficient reason based upon known facts to believe a crime has been committed or that certain property is connected with a crime. Probable cause must exist for a law enforcement officer to make an arrest without a warrant, search without a warrant, or seize property in the belief the items were evidence of a crime. While some cases are easy (pistols and illicit drugs in plain sight, gunshots, a suspect running from a liquor store with a clerk screaming "help"), actions "typical" of drug dealers, burglars, prostitutes, thieves, or people with guilt "written across their faces," are more difficult to categorize. "Probable cause" is often subjective, but if the police officer's belief or even hunch was correct, finding stolen goods, the hidden weapon or drugs may be claimed as self-fulfilling proof of probable cause. Technically, probable cause has to exist prior to arrest, search or seizure. See also: Bill of Rights search search and seizure
Probable prime         
NUMBER THAT SATISFIES SOME REQUIREMENTS FOR PRIME NUMBERS
Strong Composite; Probable primes
In number theory, a probable prime (PRP) is an integer that satisfies a specific condition that is satisfied by all prime numbers, but which is not satisfied by most composite numbers. Different types of probable primes have different specific conditions.
Probable desistance         
Probable desistance
The probable desistance test in the United States is a criminal law approach to distinguishing conduct that constitutes the crime of attempt of a crime, from mere preparation to commit the crime. In United States v.

Википедия

Outcome bias

Outcome Bias, also known as the Disparity Fallacy and Equity Fallacy, is a form of confirmation bias, and by extension a cognitive bias. This error arises when a decision is based on the outcome of previous events, without regard to how the past events developed. Outcome bias does not involve analysis of factors that lead to a previous event, and instead de-emphasizes the events preceding the outcomes and overemphasizes the outcome. Unlike hindsight bias, outcome bias does not involve the distortion of past events.

While similar to the hindsight bias, the two phenomena are markedly different. Hindsight bias focuses on memory distortion to favor the actor, while the outcome bias focuses exclusively on weighting the past outcome heavier than other pieces of information in deciding if a past decision was correct.